Is the next war between Pakistan and India going to be fought over waters?Are the nuclear-missile equipped submarines going to play a leading role in that war?
Neither Radcliffe nor Mountbatten were sincere with us. If on the one hand, they left behind sores like Hyderabad Deccan , Junagadh and Kashmir for India and Pakistan for slugging it out, they also didn’t give a formula as to the division of the use of water from the rivers of Panjab between the upper and the lower riparians. Small wonder, that soon after partition of the sub-continent, within 2 years after it, to be more more precise, these two countries came close to an armed conflict. It took both these governments almost 13 years to reach Indus water treaty when President Ayub Khan and Prime minister Nehru signed it in 1960.
Though India allowed flow of water to Pakistan it has never relinquished its claim of its sovereignty over these rivers.
China is today more interested in the modernisation of Pakistan’s agriculture under the CPEC-sponsored agricultural projects and should India ever tried to tinker with the flow of water towards Pakistan it would consider it as an hostile act. The successful operation of Gwadar port would not only provide a tremendous boost to Chinese economy it would enable it to keep a big fleet of its frigates, destroyers and nuclear submarines in the Indian ocean. By 2030 China is destined to become the biggest navy of the world—- a prospect which is running shiver down the spine of both India and the US.