The might of the status quo forces should have finally opened Imran Khan’s eyes. He should have learnt by now that his personal charisma, his sincerity of purpose and his dynamism can take him only as far as he went till about a few months back. As a student of history I know about the value of strategy, and the dangers of complacence. When Chengis Khan was gathering strength in the deserts of Gobi, Sultan Allauddin ruled over a mighty empire in the Central Asia. He was regarded as unassailable. But history was soon to reveal that when your complacence leads you to lean on opportunists and lesser minds for advice, you get vulnerable. Chengis Khan demolished the mighty Khwarzum empire in less than a year. The Mongol era had begun. It was Chengis Khan’s grandson Halaku Khan, who was to be paid back in the same currency by a modest Mamluk named Bayburs who, through sheer strategic brilliance destroyed the mighty Mongol army in the battle of Ain Jalot in Egypt.
Apparently there is no relevance of these references to the challenge Imran Khan is facing. But till not a long time back the PTI was regarded as a huge threat to the Status Quo forces. And today it appears to have been battered bruised and beaten.
I think it is an exercise in mis-reading Imran Khan’s capability. His strength lies not just in his personal charisma, but also in the chemistry of his personality. A reversal is unlikely not to trigger a strong response from his soul. He is going to fight back. I have no doubt about that. But this fightback will need a correct assessment on his part, of the reasons behind the recent fiasco. To me the biggest reason is absence of prudent advice, of well-strategised road-map, and of mechanism to flush out the black sheep around him and in the party.